Cole Swider Reduces His List To Four Schools

It was announced today that power forward  Cole Swider who is class of 2018  has cut down his list to four schools. "according to https://www.dukebasketballreport.com/2017/6/19/15828354/duke-recruiting-cole-swider-cuts-his-list-to-four-basketball

His list includes Villanova, Xavier, Syracuse, and Duke. What are the chances, Cole Swider goes  Duke over Syracuse who is also a member of the Atlantic Coast Conference or will he choose one of the Big East schools on his list?